12.10講座播出 | 中美分歧解決：一種新的治國方略

【朗潤?格政】第199期暨智庫名家系列講座

中美分歧解決：一種新的治國方略

US-China Conflict Resolution: A New Statecraft

時間 Time：2025年12月10日19:00 -20:30

語言 Language：英文/English

僅在線播出 online-only

議程Lecture Program

19:00-19:05主持及開場/Host

黃益平/Huang Yiping 北大國發院院長/Dean, National School of Development, PKU

19:05-20:00主題演講/Keynote Speech

史蒂芬?羅奇/Stephen Roach, 美國耶魯大學教授/Professor, Yale University, USA

20:00-20:30現場問答/Q&A

Speaker’s Bio

Stephen Roach has been a member of the Yale faculty since 2010. After thirteen years as the first senior fellow of Yale’s Jackson Institute of Global Affairs, he joined Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center in 2022. He was formerly Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia and the firm’s Chief Economist for the bulk of his 30-year career at Morgan Stanley. A rare combination of thought leadership on Wall Street and academia places Stephen Roach in the unique position as a leading practitioner of analytical macroeconomics. At Yale, he introduced new courses for undergraduates and graduate students on the “The Next China” and “The Lessons of Japan.” Dr. Roach’s current research program focuses on the conflict-prone US-China relationship.

His latest book, Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives (Yale University Press, 2022) examines the ominous trajectory of conflict escalation between the United States and China and a provides a unique roadmap for conflict resolution. His 2014 book, Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China explored the risks and opportunities of the world’s most important economic relationship of the 21st century.

Prior to joining Morgan Stanley in 1982, Stephen Roach served on the research staff of the Federal Reserve Board and was also a research fellow at the Brookings Institution. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from New York University. Mr. Roach is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Investment Committee of the Metropolitan Museum of Art, the Economics Advisory Board of the University of Wisconsin, and the Advisory Board of NYU’s Graduate School of Arts and Sciences.

【Abstract/講座摘要】

There is no natural constituency in the US body politic for re-engagement, let alone conflict resolution, with China. The old approach, with reliance on leader-to-leader diplomacy and infrequent summits, has failed. Dr. Roach provides a different framework for a new architecture of engagement, featuring the establishment of a permanent US-China Secretariat to complement existing diplomatic channels. Acceptance of such a proposal will be an uphill battle in the current toxic political climate. A transition built around current bilateral working groups is proposed as interim step to begin the urgent process of repairing the world’s most important relationship. I am currently working on a new book covering these issues.

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